{% extends "global/Page.html" %} {% load otree static %} {% block title %} {% endblock %} {% block styles %} {% endblock %} {% block content %}
This is Phase 2 of the study.
Phase 2 consists of four questions, two on this page and two on the next one.
Consider the task you completed in Phase 1.
Consider only trials where the number on the screen was between 52 and 58. In what percentage of these trials do you think you gave a correct answer, that is, you correctly classified whether the number was smaller or larger than 55? Give us your forecast on a scale between 0% and 100% where 0% means you believe no answer in these trials was correct and 100% means you believe all answers in these trials were correct. If your forecast is within plus or minus {{ Constants.forecast_tolerance }}% of your true accuracy, you will earn £{{ Constants.forecast_prize }}. {% formfield player.forecast_own_close %}
Consider only trials where the number on the screen was smaller than 52 or larger than 58. In what percentage of these trials do you think you gave a correct answer, that is, you correctly classified whether the number was smaller or larger than 55? Give us your forecast on a scale between 0% and 100% where 0% means you believe no answer in these trials was correct and 100% means you believe all answers in these trials were correct. If your forecast is within plus or minus {{ Constants.forecast_tolerance }}% of your true accuracy, you will earn £{{ Constants.forecast_prize }}. {% formfield player.forecast_own_far %}
{% elif OwnFirst == 1 and OwnOrder == 2%}Consider the task you completed in Phase 1.
Consider only trials where the number on the screen was smaller than 52 or larger than 58. In what percentage of these trials do you think you gave a correct answer, that is, you correctly classified whether the number was smaller or larger than 55? Give us your forecast on a scale between 0% and 100% where 0% means you believe no answer in these trials was correct and 100% means you believe all answers in these trials were correct. If your forecast is within plus or minus {{ Constants.forecast_tolerance }}% of your true accuracy, you will earn £{{ Constants.forecast_prize }}. {% formfield player.forecast_own_far %}
Consider only trials where the number on the screen was between 52 and 58. In what percentage of these trials do you think you gave a correct answer, that is, you correctly classified whether the number was smaller or larger than 55? Give us your forecast on a scale between 0% and 100% where 0% means you believe no answer in these trials was correct and 100% means you believe all answers in these trials were correct. If your forecast is within plus or minus {{ Constants.forecast_tolerance }}% of your true accuracy, you will earn £{{ Constants.forecast_prize }}. {% formfield player.forecast_own_close %}
{% elif OwnFirst == 0 and OtherOrder == 1 %}There are 99 other participants in this study.
Consider the task completed by the other participants in Phase 1.
Consider only trials where the number on the screen was equal to 47. In what percentage of these trials do you think the other participants gave a correct answer, that is, they correctly classified whether the number was smaller or larger than 55? Give us your forecast on a scale between 0% and 100%, where 0% means you believe no answer in these trials was correct and 100% means you believe all answers in these trials were correct. If your forecast is within plus or minus {{ Constants.forecast_tolerance }}% of the true percentage, you will earn £{{ Constants.forecast_prize }}. {% formfield player.forecast_other_47 %}
Consider only trials where the number on the screen was equal to 54. In what percentage of these trials do you think the other participants gave a correct answer, that is, they correctly classified whether the number was smaller or larger than 55? Give us your forecast on a scale between 0% and 100%, where 0% means you believe no answer in these trials was correct and 100% means you believe all answers in these trials were correct. If your forecast is within plus or minus {{ Constants.forecast_tolerance }}% of the true percentage, you will earn £{{ Constants.forecast_prize }}. {% formfield player.forecast_other_54 %}
{% elif OwnFirst == 0 and OtherOrder == 2 %}There are 99 other participants in this study.
Consider the task completed by the other participants in Phase 1.
Consider only trials where the number on the screen was equal to 54. In what percentage of these trials do you think the other participants gave a correct answer, that is, they correctly classified whether the number was smaller or larger than 55? Give us your forecast on a scale between 0% and 100%, where 0% means you believe no answer in these trials was correct and 100% means you believe all answers in these trials were correct. If your forecast is within plus or minus {{ Constants.forecast_tolerance }}% of the true percentage, you will earn £{{ Constants.forecast_prize }}. {% formfield player.forecast_other_54 %}
Consider only trials where the number on the screen was equal to 47. In what percentage of these trials do you think the other participants gave a correct answer, that is, they correctly classified whether the number was smaller or larger than 55? Give us your forecast on a scale between 0% and 100%, where 0% means you believe no answer in these trials was correct and 100% means you believe all answers in these trials were correct. If your forecast is within plus or minus {{ Constants.forecast_tolerance }}% of the true percentage, you will earn £{{ Constants.forecast_prize }}. {% formfield player.forecast_other_47 %}
{% endif %}Press ENTER to confirm your answers.